🕒 Last Updated: 22 March 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Political betting markets move quickly; please check with your bookmaker for current prices.
What are Reform’s odds to win the 2026 Local Elections?
Reform are priced at 1/10 to secure the most seats in the 2026 UK local elections, reflecting their strong position in recent polling and momentum across parts of the country. Their appeal to voters on the right and continued visibility in national debates has positioned them as the clear frontrunner heading into the elections.
The Green Party sit second in the market at 15/2. The Greens have made steady gains in local elections in recent years and continue to build support in urban areas, particularly among younger voters, following their landmark Gorton and Denton by-election victory earlier this year.
Labour are further back at 18/1 despite being one of the UK’s main political parties. While they remain competitive in many councils, the odds indicate that bookmakers expect them to fall short of topping the national tally, with their vote potentially spread too evenly to secure the most seats overall.
UK Local Elections 2026 – Winning Party Odds
| Party | Odds |
|---|---|
| Reform | 1/10 |
| Green | 15/2 |
| Labour | 18/1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 50/1 |
| Conservative | 66/1 |
The Liberal Democrats and Conservatives are priced as outsiders at 50/1 and 66/1 respectively. Reform’s dominant position in this market is consistent with their broader trajectory. They are also odds-on favourites to win the most seats at the next General Election, and the pressure they are applying on Labour is feeding directly into leadership betting as well.
