🕒 Last Updated: 20 March 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Political betting markets move quickly; please check with your bookmaker for current prices.
Speculation is growing around the future of Sir Keir Starmer as betting markets shift on who could become the next Prime Minister. Wes Streeting had long been viewed as the leading contender to succeed the current Labour leader, but his position in the market has weakened in recent weeks. The Health Secretary has publicly dismissed suggestions that he is preparing a leadership bid, with questions raised over his past links to Peter Mandelson. Angela Rayner has now moved to the top of the market following reports that the Ashton-under-Lyne MP is considering a challenge, with bookmakers placing her as the current favourite.
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Ed Miliband is also among the names attracting attention. The Energy Secretary appears to have regained support since his previous spell as Labour leader, which ended after defeat in the 2015 general election to David Cameron. The betting market reflects uncertainty over whether Starmer will remain in position through to the next scheduled general election in 2029. For the latest on his exit timeline, see the Keir Starmer exit date market.
Nigel Farage is another prominent figure in the market, with Reform UK continuing to poll well and his presence among the frontrunners highlighting the unpredictable nature of the current political situation. Rupert Lowe has also entered the conversation at 16/1, with his involvement in the Restore Britain movement raising his profile.
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Angela Rayner | 9/4 |
| Ed Miliband | 8/1 |
| Nigel Farage | 9/1 |
| Wes Streeting | 9/1 |
| Andy Burnham | 12/1 |
| Shabana Mahmood | 12/1 |
| Rupert Lowe | 16/1 |
| Yvette Cooper | 16/1 |
| Al Carns | 16/1 |
| Sadiq Khan | 18/1 |
| David Lammy | 18/1 |
| John Healey | 18/1 |
| Kemi Badenoch | 25/1 |
| Lucy Powell | 28/1 |
| Lisa Nandy | 33/1 |
| Rachel Reeves | 33/1 |
| Bridget Phillipson | 33/1 |
| Darren Jones | 33/1 |
| Zack Polanski | 33/1 |
| Peter Kyle | 33/1 |
| James Cleverly | 66/1 |
| Boris Johnson | 66/1 |
| Richard Tice | 66/1 |
| Ed Davey | 66/1 |
| Jeremy Hunt | 100/1 |
| Suella Braverman | 125/1 |
| Tom Tugendhat | 125/1 |
| Ben Habib | 125/1 |
| Jeremy Corbyn | 125/1 |
| Robert Jenrick | 150/1 |