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Home • Politics • Restore Britain Odds for next General Election

Restore Britain Odds for next General Election

Dave James by Dave James
May 18, 2026
in Politics
Reading Time: 3 mins read
0
General Election Odds – Reform lead after latest You Gov poll

🕒 Last Updated: 2 April 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Political betting markets move quickly; please check with your bookmaker for current prices.

Restore Britain are beginning to register in UK polling, with a new YouGov survey placing the party at 8% of the vote, up one point from the previous wave and drawing support from a mix of previous non-voters, Reform supporters and some former Conservatives.

PartyOddsImplied Probability
Reform UK6/440.0%
Labour9/430.8%
Green4/120.0%
Conservatives7/112.5%
Restore Britain12/17.7%
Liberal Democrats28/13.4%
Your Party175/10.6%
Advance UK275/10.4%

Reform UK continue to lead the voting intention figures for The Times and Sky News on 23%, unchanged from the previous wave. The Greens and Conservatives are level on 19%, with Labour having slipped slightly to 18%. The Liberal Democrats have fallen to 12%, their lowest level recorded by YouGov during this parliament.

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Restore Britain’s 8% polling figure is modest but meaningful in the context of such a close race. When voters were asked how likely they would be to consider backing the party, 16% said they would be either “very” or “somewhat” likely to do so, suggesting further potential for growth as awareness increases. The party’s support is coming partly at the expense of Reform UK, though Reform remain comfortably ahead as the largest party in the poll.

At the margins, smaller parties continue to struggle for traction. Your Party registers less than 1% support, highlighting how difficult it remains for new entrants to break through even in a volatile environment. With multiple parties clustered within a narrow range and voter loyalties continuing to shift, Restore Britain is now firmly part of the wider conversation. For earlier coverage of the party’s formation and initial odds movement, see the original Restore Britain odds analysis.

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