The race for the 2025 UK Christmas Number One is officially underway and it’s a familiar name leading the festive charge once again. Bookmakers have installed Wham! as the odds on favourites at 10/11 to make Last Christmas the UK’s festive chart topper for an incredible third consecutive year.
Dave James, Oddsboom.co.uk spokesman comments:
“Its that time of year when music lovers eye what single will reach the coveted Christmas Number One and there’s one song which once again is tipped to go all the way to the top and make it a hatrick. Wham!’s Last Christmas has become nothing short of a modern Christmas chart miracle. Nearly 41 years after its original release in 1984, the song is now the unstoppable force of the festive season, a glittering example of how nostalgia, streaming power and enduring public affection can combine to reshape chart history.”
“Originally held off the top spot by Band Aid’s Do They Know It’s Christmas?, the track spent decades as Britain’s favourite Christmas song that never quite made Number One. That changed in spectacular fashion in 2023, when the nation finally sent it to the top a staggering 39 years after its debut. In 2024, Wham! repeated the feat, making Last Christmas the first song ever to secure consecutive Christmas Number Ones.”
“Close behind in the betting is Kylie Minogue (9/2), who is tipped to give Wham! serious competition. The Aussie superstar enjoyed a glittering comeback in 2025 with her album Disco Inferno and her Amazon Music Original single ‘XMAS’ is is sure to perform strongly thanks to its prime placement on Alexa’s default holiday playlists. “
2025 UK Christmas Number One Odds
(Data compiled by Oddsboom.co.uk – Update 5th December 2025)
Now, the late George Michael and Andrew Ridgeley could make pop history yet again with a record breaking festive treble.
| Artist / Song | Odds | Estimated Chance of Winning |
|---|---|---|
| Wham! – Last Christmas | 10/11 | 52.4% |
| Kylie Minogue | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Ed Sheeran | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Alison Limerick | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Mariah Carey | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 11/1 | 8.3% |
| Taylor Swift | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| The Pogues | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Gracie Abrams | 18/1 | 5.3% |
| Band Aid | 18/1 | 5.3% |
| LadBaby | 18/1 | 5.3% |
Dave continues:
“In third place, Ed Sheeran (9/1) is no stranger to Christmas chart success. The singer songwriter famously hit the top with Elton John in 2021 with Merry Christmas, and insiders suggest he may be preparing another seasonal single that could challenge for the crown once again.”
“Wham! have turned Last Christmas into a modern chart phenomenon no song has captured the festive spirit quite like it. But with Kylie’s resurgence and rumours of a new Ed Sheeran release, it could be a much tighter race than in previous years.”
With Christmas chart fever set to grip the nation once again, the question remains can Last Christmas pull off the unthinkable and make it three in a row, or will a new festive favourite finally take the crown?
