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Home • Politics • Restore Britain Odds to win next election

Restore Britain Odds to win next election

Dave James by Dave James
February 25, 2026
in Politics
Reading Time: 2 mins read
0
Restore Britain Election Odds as Reform Drift

Rupert Lowe’s newly formed Restore Britain party has been cut from 16/1 to 11/1 to win the most seats at the next UK general election, after an early poll suggested the party has made a notable entry into the political landscape.

The election is not due to be held before August 2029, leaving considerable time for the picture to shift, but a Find Out Now survey has given the party an early foothold, placing them at 10% of the vote share alongside the Liberal Democrats, three points behind the Conservatives and five behind Labour.

Restore Britain was set up following Lowe’s expulsion from Reform UK, which came amid bullying allegations and a public falling out with party leader Nigel Farage. Rather than positioning itself as a centrist alternative, the party has moved to the right of Reform, accusing the Farage-led outfit of softening its stance on the deportation of illegal migrants and arguing there is an appetite for a harder line on immigration than Reform is currently offering.

The party has already secured the backing of Advance UK, a group led by former Reform deputy leader Ben Habib and supported by Stephen Yaxley-Lennon, better known as Tommy Robinson. Among the policies Restore Britain has publicised so far are pledges to ban foreign nationals from voting in British elections and to repeal the Gender Recognition Act.

There will be genuine concern in some quarters on the right that a new party pulling in votes from a similar pool could split the conservative vote, potentially costing Reform seats and undermining its prospects of gaining power at a future election.

Whether Restore Britain can sustain its early momentum or whether it fades as the political cycle develops remains to be seen, but the movement in the betting suggests it is already being taken seriously.

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