🕒 Last Updated: 25 February 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Political betting markets move quickly; please check with your bookmaker for current prices.
Rupert Lowe’s newly formed Restore Britain party has been cut from 16/1 to 11/1 to win the most seats at the next UK general election, after an early poll suggested the party has made a notable entry into the race. The election is not due to be held before August 2029, leaving considerable time for the picture to shift, but a Find Out Now survey placed them at 10% of the vote share alongside the Liberal Democrats, three points behind the Conservatives and five behind Labour.
Restore Britain was set up following Lowe’s expulsion from Reform UK, which came amid bullying allegations and a public falling out with party leader Nigel Farage. Rather than positioning itself as a centrist alternative, the party has moved to the right of Reform, accusing Farage’s outfit of softening its stance on immigration. Among the policies Restore Britain has publicised are pledges to ban foreign nationals from voting in British elections and to repeal the Gender Recognition Act.
The party has already secured the backing of Advance UK, a group led by former Reform deputy leader Ben Habib and supported by Stephen Yaxley-Lennon, better known as Tommy Robinson. There is genuine concern in some quarters that a new party pulling in votes from a similar pool could split the conservative vote, potentially costing Reform seats and undermining its prospects of gaining power at a future election.
Whether Restore Britain can sustain its early momentum remains to be seen, but the movement in the betting suggests it is being taken seriously. For subsequent market updates as the party’s polling grew, see our Restore Britain odds update and the analysis of how their launch affected Reform’s own prices.
