🕒 Last Updated: 20 March 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Political betting markets move quickly; please check with your bookmaker for current prices.
Restore Britain have seen a notable shift in the betting market ahead of the next UK general election, shortening from 16/1 to 12/1 to win the most seats. The election is not due before August 2029, leaving significant time for political momentum to change. Early polling suggests Rupert Lowe’s new party has made an impact, with a Find Out Now survey placing them on 10 per cent, level with the Liberal Democrats, three points behind the Conservatives and five behind Labour.
Restore Britain was formed following Lowe’s expulsion from Reform UK after allegations of bullying, which he has denied. The split also followed growing tensions between Lowe and Reform leader Nigel Farage. The new party has positioned itself further to the right, arguing that Reform UK has softened its stance on key issues such as immigration. Restore Britain has called for stricter policies, including the deportation of illegal migrants.
Support has already come from Advance UK, led by former Reform deputy leader Ben Habib. The movement has also drawn backing from Stephen Yaxley-Lennon, known as Tommy Robinson, which has increased its visibility among certain voter groups. There are concerns on the right that the emergence of Restore Britain could divide support, potentially impacting Reform UK’s chances in key constituencies.
Among its early policy announcements, the party has said it would ban foreign nationals from voting in British elections and repeal the Gender Recognition Act.
| Party | Odds |
|---|---|
| Reform UK | 6/4 |
| Labour | 9/4 |
| Green | 4/1 |
| Conservatives | 7/1 |
| Restore Britain | 12/1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 28/1 |
| Your Party | 175/1 |
| Advance UK | 275/1 |