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🕒 Last Updated: 22 March 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Political betting markets move quickly; please check with your bookmaker for current prices.

What are Reform’s odds to win the 2026 Local Elections?

Reform are priced at 1/10 to secure the most seats in the 2026 UK local elections, reflecting their strong position in recent polling and momentum across parts of the country. Their appeal to voters on the right and continued visibility in national debates has positioned them as the clear frontrunner heading into the elections.

The Green Party sit second in the market at 15/2. The Greens have made steady gains in local elections in recent years and continue to build support in urban areas, particularly among younger voters, following their landmark Gorton and Denton by-election victory earlier this year.

Labour are further back at 18/1 despite being one of the UK’s main political parties. While they remain competitive in many councils, the odds indicate that bookmakers expect them to fall short of topping the national tally, with their vote potentially spread too evenly to secure the most seats overall.

UK Local Elections 2026 – Winning Party Odds

The Liberal Democrats and Conservatives are priced as outsiders at 50/1 and 66/1 respectively. Reform’s dominant position in this market is consistent with their broader trajectory. They are also odds-on favourites to win the most seats at the next General Election, and the pressure they are applying on Labour is feeding directly into leadership betting as well.

🕒 Last Updated: 22 March 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Political betting markets move quickly; please check with your bookmaker for current prices.

What are the odds on Laila Cunningham to be next London Mayor?

Laila Cunningham currently leads the market at 2/1. Her position at the top of the odds reflects growing interest, though there is still a long way to go before any official campaign begins. The market sits alongside wider political betting trends, with interest also growing in leadership and election outcomes. You can read more on the latest developments via the next Prime Minister odds after Keir Starmer and the Restore Britain general election odds.

What are Sadiq Khan’s odds to be next London Mayor?

Close behind is current mayor Sadiq Khan at 11/4. Khan remains a significant figure in London politics and his presence near the top of the market indicates he could yet play a major role in the next contest, whether seeking another term or influencing the race. Further down the list, several high-profile names are in contention, including Dawn Butler, Rosena Allin-Khan and James Cleverly, while figures from outside traditional politics such as Ant Middleton and Derek Chisora also feature.

🕒 Last Updated: 20 March 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Political betting markets move quickly; please check with your bookmaker for current prices.

Restore Britain have seen a notable shift in the betting market ahead of the next UK general election, shortening from 16/1 to 12/1 to win the most seats. The election is not due before August 2029, leaving significant time for political momentum to change. Early polling suggests Rupert Lowe’s new party has made an impact, with a Find Out Now survey placing them on 10 per cent, level with the Liberal Democrats, three points behind the Conservatives and five behind Labour.

Restore Britain was formed following Lowe’s expulsion from Reform UK after allegations of bullying, which he has denied. The split also followed growing tensions between Lowe and Reform leader Nigel Farage. The new party has positioned itself further to the right, arguing that Reform UK has softened its stance on key issues such as immigration. Restore Britain has called for stricter policies, including the deportation of illegal migrants.

Support has already come from Advance UK, led by former Reform deputy leader Ben Habib. The movement has also drawn backing from Stephen Yaxley-Lennon, known as Tommy Robinson, which has increased its visibility among certain voter groups. There are concerns on the right that the emergence of Restore Britain could divide support, potentially impacting Reform UK’s chances in key constituencies.

Among its early policy announcements, the party has said it would ban foreign nationals from voting in British elections and repeal the Gender Recognition Act.

🕒 Last Updated: 21 May 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Political betting markets move quickly; please check with your bookmaker for current prices.

Andy Burnham has moved to evens favourite to become the next UK Prime Minister, one of the sharpest market moves in recent political betting. He was priced at 12/1 in March and 9/5 just two weeks ago. The move follows Wes Streeting’s resignation as Health Secretary, Labour’s May local election losses, and the triggering of the Makerfield by-election on 18 June, which Burnham is expected to contest as the Labour candidate.

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Next Prime Minister Odds – Latest Market

Burnham’s appeal is broader than most Labour figures. He retains strong backing among party members while also polling well with voters who have drifted to Reform and the Greens, a combination no other Labour figure can currently claim. His route to the top of the market runs through Makerfield: as Mayor of Greater Manchester he is not currently an MP, and winning the by-election on 18 June is the essential first step toward any leadership bid.

Angela Rayner’s odds vary significantly between bookmakers, from 9/4 at some to 5/1 at others, reflecting genuine uncertainty about her position. Her HMRC clearance earlier this month had briefly pushed her to favouritism with William Hill, but Burnham’s Makerfield announcement has since reshuffled the market. She remains a leading contender given her profile, her grassroots support, and the fact that she is already in Parliament.

Wes Streeting’s resignation as Health Secretary, citing that he had “lost confidence” in Starmer’s leadership, has formally opened the door to a Labour leadership contest and improved his own market position. His strong media presence and reform-focused image keep him in the top tier, with several bookmakers placing him third at 11/2.

Nigel Farage at 6/1 reflects Reform’s dominant polling position. Reform are now odds-on to win the most seats at the next general election, but Farage would almost certainly require a general election to reach Number 10. The betting implies that scenario is increasingly plausible, with 72% of bets on Oddschecker now backing 2026 as the year of the next election following the turmoil inside Labour.

For the full picture on Labour’s leadership race specifically, see the next Labour leader market.