🕒 Last Updated: 25 March 2026 – Odds and market information correct at time of last update. Please check with your bookmaker for current prices.
Karishma Vijay has moved to the head of the betting to win The Apprentice 2026, with bookmakers installing her at 11/8 following Harry Clough’s exit from the process. The market move comes after another dramatic episode, where Lord Sugar’s rare second-chance task still ended in a firing that has tightened the race for the £250,000 investment. For the most recent odds update, see our Apprentice odds update following the TV selling task.
The candidates were sent to the Isle of Wight after a disappointing week in Hong Kong, tasked with a revised discount buying challenge. While Team Eclipse recovered well to secure the majority of their items, Team Alpha’s approach was heavily criticised in the boardroom. Harry Clough ultimately paid the price for a costly purchasing error, and his departure has significantly reshaped the betting.
With the field narrowing, Karishma Vijay leads the market at 11/8, giving her an implied probability of 42.1% to win the show. She is followed by Kieran McCartney at 2/1 (33.3%) and Dan Miller at 3/1 (25.0%), with the chasing pack still within striking distance as the competition heads into its final weeks.
| Candidate | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Karishma Vijay | 11/8 | 42.1% |
| Kieran McCartney | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Dan Miller | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Rothna Akhtar | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Priyesh Bathia | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Conor Galvin | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Levi Hague | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Lawrence Rosenberg | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Pascha Myhill | 12/1 | 7.7% |
Karishma’s rise reflects a series of consistent performances and her ability to avoid the costly mistakes that have seen others fall away. In a format where one poor decision can end a candidate’s journey, her steady approach has made her the standout contender.
Attention now turns to the next episode, where candidates will face a high-pressure live TV selling task. Historically, this challenge has proven decisive, exposing weaknesses in communication, confidence and strategy. Strong performances can lead to dramatic swings in the betting, particularly with so few episodes remaining.
The market for the next candidate to be fired is also taking shape. Lawrence Rosenberg is the 6/4 favourite (40.0%) to go next after losing five of the last seven tasks. His position looks increasingly vulnerable following criticism in the latest challenge, where he and project manager Kieran McCartney opted to spend time on cost-cutting measures rather than maximising value. With just four episodes left and nine candidates still in contention, double or triple firings are expected as Lord Sugar looks to narrow the field quickly.
